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Sunday, December 23, 2007 - 12:30pm With Elections Approaching, It's Anybody's Game On Meet The Press this morning, political pundit Chuck Todd mentioned that as many as six candidates could still win the Presidency, even though the Iowa caucus is less than two weeks away. I assume his six potential Presidents are Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, Rudy Giuliani, Mick Huckabee, Mitt Romney, and John McCain. However, I believe there are up to eleven people that could become President.
On the Republican side, you must include Fred Thompson and Ron Paul. It was only a few months ago that Fred Thompson was near the top of the polls. He has a chance for a resurgence if he puts the time and energy into the race. It's not likely, but is still feasible.
In Ron Paul, you have a candidate who is leading all GOP candidates in the money race for the fourth quarter. This means he can stay in the race as long as he wants. His supporters are also far more passionate than any candidates. In addition, Dr. Paul can also run as a Libertarian candidate if he does not receive the Republican nomination.
Beyond the Democrats and Republicans, there are two additional men that could run as third-party candidates. Al Gore and Michael Bloomberg are extremely viable contenders. Former Vice President Al Gore has a strong following around this country. In his time away from politics, he has won an Oscar, a Nobel Peace Prize, and brought the issue of global warming to the forefront in the world.
New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg is a self-made billionaire and could finance a presidential run in a way no other third-party candidate has ever done. Unlike other wealthy third-party candidates before him, Bloomberg has run for office before and is politically savvy. Steve Forbes and Ross Perot had the money, but not the skill in the political arena.
My money is on Michael Bloomberg bankrolling an Al Gore presidential run with Bloomberg as the VP. Together, they can beat both the Democratic and Republican nominee. If Ron Paul runs as a Libertarian to create a four-way race, Gore and Bloomberg could win with only 35-40% of the vote.
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Let's start with the Democrats first. In addition to Clinton and
Obama, I believe John Edwards clearly has a shot to win. Even
though he is a distant third in the national polls, Edwards is in a very
close race in Iowa. There are many that believe John Edwards will
win Iowa, as his support is extremely strong. If he wins in Iowa,
he would get a significant boost in New Hampshire and has a chance to
win there.